SOPA protests (dumb idea)
#1 Members - Reputation: 537
Posted 15 January 2012 - 12:36 AM
I mean I get the idea: this is what could happen permanantely and not just one day, but shutting your website down does not actually do anything except hurt yourself. Like "I'm going to kill myself if you don't change your bill."
#2 Moderators - Reputation: 13558
Posted 15 January 2012 - 12:40 AM
[edit]
No... it's more like saying "Instead of going to work today, I'm going to hand out political pamphlets"I mean I get the idea: this is what could happen permanantely and not just one day, but shutting your website down does not actually do anything except hurt yourself. Like "I'm going to kill myself if you don't change your bill."
#3 Members - Reputation: 1283
Posted 15 January 2012 - 12:49 AM
With the uptime that gamedev.net experiences it'll probably end up joining in on the blackout accidently.
#6 Members - Reputation: 2369
Posted 15 January 2012 - 07:41 AM
you are also making your users angry.
Airlines train their crew for emergencies. Biggest obstacle they face are passengers. Not panic or fear. But apathy. Experience has shown that in case of a real emergency, people simply remain apathetic and even when they do react, they do with less rigor than needed.
Anger is good since it provokes people to act.
Bystanders are another example. No matter the incident, people will just stand by. To get people to react in such situation, one needs to establish physical contact with each of them. Yelling at a group of people to help you won't do anything. But go around and push each of them and a relevant majority will get engaged. A quite useful technique to keep in mind when dealing with such situations.
It also works the other way. Law enforcement is typically trained to avoid any kind of engagement. You can witness this in any of the videos from real actions. As long as people are merely talked to they don't react. The moment they get grabbed they react with excessive force, even if the contact doesn't warrant it.
Also, the only people that heard of SOPA would be those that read reddit or similar news aggregators and even only those that read relevant topics, let alone understood what it means. There has been almost zero coverage in any mainstream press. If 5 million heard of it, that's not even 1% of internet users let alone of entire population. And 5 million is a lot.
#7 Members - Reputation: 2369
Posted 15 January 2012 - 10:34 AM
Getting people to be upset over some site being down would likely result in two things:
- "mah computer is broken, can you fix it"
- "reddit is down again, wonder if digg is still up"
Imagine you turn on TV and your soap channel is showing a big warning about some strange big bold letters and talking about some stuff. There's hundreds of other channels, just flip over.
The TV issue is quite a big one and something advertising agencies (Google/Facebook are essentially advertising companies, all money on web is based on advertising as well) had to learn decades ago. When they showed adverts, viewers would flip channels. If other channel had just a tiny appeal, they wouldn't come back.
Solutions to this were varied. From synchronizing advertising blocks, to more subvert forms of advertising, to different pacing, packaged channels, etc... One reason why cable is so reluctant to provide individual shows is because it limits these options. A borderline viewable show can still generate revenue if one can only switch between similar such shows with high enough probability. But show hand-picked episodes of specfic show and viewer's tolerance drops fast. After a few adverts, they'll lose interest and simply abandon viewing altoghether with no spillage to other content.
Torrents are a demonstration of this concept and both pro-/con- argument to piracy. Those who torrent TV shows only care about that particular show, nothing but that show and nothing but this week's episode. They don't tolerate 5 second ad before, between or after, or anything that even remotely detracts from that week's episode. They aren't willing to compromise on anything. On one side, companies don't lose anything this way - these users wouldn't accept advertising so CTR or equivalent would be too low to worry. On another, residual funding generated from advertising pays for more than just that one show. It also subsidizes others, allows experimentation and company growth enabling them to take on more demanding projects. So while claims that piracy does not mean lost sales are valid to a degree, they tend to be too simplistic to be taken at face value.
All web companies are fighting a cutthroat fight for attention. Turns out that general attention span is incredibly short and limited, so getting people excited about something that is not their immediate pet-peeve (single issue voter in politics) is surprisingly hard.
So getting general population angry would indeed be a big achievement and a very unlikely one.
#8 Members - Reputation: 630
Posted 15 January 2012 - 01:16 PM
I think it's true that generally people have short attention spans. They are also, however, very easily pissed off when they can't get access something they want (see: http://www.gamedev.net/topic/618104-gamedevnet-has-the-most-down-time-of-any-site-i-regularly-visit/). They might not spend all day staring at the blank reddit page, but I'm sure they'll take the time to at least realize why it's down before moving on.All web companies are fighting a cutthroat fight for attention. Turns out that general attention span is incredibly short and limited, so getting people excited about something that is not their immediate pet-peeve (single issue voter in politics) is surprisingly hard.
So getting general population angry would indeed be a big achievement and a very unlikely one.
#9 Members - Reputation: 518
Posted 16 January 2012 - 08:27 AM
Regarding ad money, obviously there's the argument of how money is best spent in lobbying. But I'm not convinced that spending lots of money on air fares for a small number of people to travel in person than raising awareness to a massive number of people.
One of the biggest sites now likely to join in the protest is Wikipedia, which does not have ads.
You've just rationalised away the argument for any kind of political lobbying whatsoever. "What's the point in lobbying, it's only going to cost you time/money!"I mean I get the idea: this is what could happen permanantely and not just one day, but shutting your website down does not actually do anything except hurt yourself. Like "I'm going to kill myself if you don't change your bill."
I suspect that most sites will survive just fine with a day of downtime. Gamedev seems to do it regularly just fine, and we're still here ;)
Of course people are going to visit websites rather than stare at the screen all day - but as long as they see the message.Imagine you turn on TV and your soap channel is showing a big warning about some strange big bold letters and talking about some stuff. There's hundreds of other channels, just flip over.
And of course, only a minority are going to care enough to write - that's always the case in political issues, even among those who care. But all the more reason to spread a message to a large audience.
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#10 Members - Reputation: 518
Posted 17 January 2012 - 07:34 PM
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#11 Members - Reputation: 179
Posted 18 January 2012 - 05:24 AM
I mean I get the idea: this is what could happen permanantely and not just one day, but shutting your website down does not actually do anything except hurt yourself. Like "I'm going to kill myself if you don't change your bill."
They said it more or less worked for this guy:
#12 Members - Reputation: 1956
Posted 18 January 2012 - 06:38 AM
About this being a "dumb idea", refer to the father of passive resistance: "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win".
The moment you perceive this as "dumb", we're already at step 2 without you realizing. As you get angry, we're at step 3.
The problem is, none of the web site owners taking down their websites will have the nerve (or will be able to afford) to persist to step 4. Which, truly, is the one dumb thing, because it makes the entire endeavour obsolete. At best, people will talk about SOPA for a day, and then the music plays on.
#13 Members - Reputation: 518
Posted 18 January 2012 - 07:49 AM
How do you mean - I'm not sure what "step 4" is in this analogy? I mean, surely winning is what people against SOPA wants?Taking down your own website is a form of passive resistance, much in the sense of a hunger strike.
About this being a "dumb idea", refer to the father of passive resistance: "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win".
The moment you perceive this as "dumb", we're already at step 2 without you realizing. As you get angry, we're at step 3.
The problem is, none of the web site owners taking down their websites will have the nerve (or will be able to afford) to persist to step 4. Which, truly, is the one dumb thing, because it makes the entire endeavour obsolete. At best, people will talk about SOPA for a day, and then the music plays on.
If you mean they won't do anything else after this, I don't see that's true at all. I'm sure people and organisations against it will continue to do what they can, though ultimately it's only the politicians who have the final decision.
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#14 Members - Reputation: 807
Posted 18 January 2012 - 08:31 AM
If you mean they won't do anything else after this, I don't see that's true at all. I'm sure people and organisations against it will continue to do what they can, though ultimately it's only the politicians who have the final decision.
I'm sure certain people and organisations will fight against it, but the question is, is it enough? There are a few things to consider here. One, is the person/organisation two-faced? Are they publicly fighting it, but privately accepting it? Two, is the person/organisation going to be exempted from it? (This could potentially lead to #1). Three, even if SOPA and PIPA are killed off, all it takes is for a much more gradual and stealthy introduction of portions of the bill to be introduced. Tie in internet censorship to a hurricane relief bill, tax reduction bill, etc. Don't introduce the full bill at once, but through time.
I guess I'm much more pessimistic about the outcome of this blackout than the rest of you (as I see internet censorship of this type as an eventuality of reality).
#15 Members - Reputation: 1956
Posted 18 January 2012 - 08:42 AM
"Winning" means that the public pressure is so high that politicans seem urged to take it back. Which, and no offense intended, won't be the case if some geeks take down their website for a day and some other geeks make a few forum posts about how unhappy they are about it. Nobody really cares what you or I have to say.How do you mean - I'm not sure what "step 4" is in this analogy? I mean, surely winning is what people against SOPA wants?
"Winning" would be 100,000 angry people in the streets of Washington DC for three days because their preferred socializing website showed "closed for SOPA" for the last 3 weeks. Politicans are stupid like shit. If 100,000 people are in the street (which is less than 0.1% of the population), politicans believe that "the people" will revolt tomorrow, a civil war will break out, and they will probably end up hung, drawn, and quartered on the market place. Thus they do what "the people" wants. This is how Germany went out of nuclear energy.
"Winning" would also be if one or several major, high-profile sites on the scale of Slashdot, Amazon, or CNN shut down for a week, to show solidarism. Though of course we know this is not going to happen for business reasons.
#16 Members - Reputation: 1008
Posted 18 January 2012 - 09:10 AM
#17 Moderators - Reputation: 3967
Posted 18 January 2012 - 09:48 AM
Yeah just like all of those people who protested their workplaces by not working. Not only is this pointless, it only hurts themselves because they lost the wages they would have earned. They would be better off working, then sending a letter to their congressmen on their break. These kind of strikes have never accomplished anything. Oh wait a minute...
The problem with this example is that if people stop working then the company suffers, loses money and thus are forced to come to some sort of settlement over time.
Wikipedia goes down and the net effect on the people drafting the bills is....? Well, you tell me...
Passive resistance and strikes only make a difference when they impact the people involved on both sides; wiki being down is going to have no impact on those wanting to draft the bill thus from that point of view is pointless.
For the general 'non-geek' population this is likely to cause an annoyance more than anything; they'll see some text and either ignore it and complain about the site being down or read it, not understand and then complain about the site being down. The population simply isn't well versed enough in technology to realise the problem.
And finally, we get to the point that a vast majority of users cant make a difference at all. Living in the UK all this 'blackout' is to me is a mild annoyance which ends when I wake up tomorrow. I can do nothing to adjust the outcome of what is going on in the US (and the last time people in the UK decided to voice an opinion on US politics that I recall was back in a presidental election when we basically got told to STFU and keep out of it... mmmm).
In short as bad as I'm sure this is being in another country with no say on the matter I currently simply don't care and just have to live this with mild annoyance. A position most of the users in the world are in.
#18 Members - Reputation: 630
Posted 18 January 2012 - 09:53 AM
While I am aware that not being in the US makes it fairly simple for you to ignore a lot of SOPA, SOPA passing severely impacts the integrity of the internet that would probably lead to similar legislation in many other first world countries.And finally, we get to the point that a vast majority of users cant make a difference at all. Living in the UK all this 'blackout' is to me is a mild annoyance which ends when I wake up tomorrow. I can do nothing to adjust the outcome of what is going on in the US (and the last time people in the UK decided to voice an opinion on US politics that I recall was back in a presidental election when we basically got told to STFU and keep out of it... mmmm).
In short as bad as I'm sure this is being in another country with no say on the matter I currently simply don't care and just have to live this with mild annoyance. A position most of the users in the world are in.
#19 Moderators - Reputation: 3967
Posted 18 January 2012 - 10:07 AM
(And to give you an idea; the estimated population of Europe is approx. twice that of the US, so just taking those two areas alone into consideration this protest does nothing more than inconvinence two people for ever 1 it eduates (assuming they get educated, see earlier reply for thoughts on that). Expand this to other countries/areas with high internet usage/pentration and the ratio drops even further.)
#20 Members - Reputation: 630
Posted 18 January 2012 - 10:23 AM
http://www.internetw...s.com/top20.htm(And to give you an idea; the estimated population of Europe is approx. twice that of the US, so just taking those two areas alone into consideration this protest does nothing more than inconvinence two people for ever 1 it eduates (assuming they get educated, see earlier reply for thoughts on that). Expand this to other countries/areas with high internet usage/pentration and the ratio drops even further.)
The American internet market is approximately the same size as the entirety of europe's.
Clearly if the website's didn't feel the legislation affected their sustainability they wouldn't be protesting. Is your inconvenience for 12 hours more important than the continued sustainability of your favorite websites?
edit: Being the second largest internet base in a single country with the largest already enforcing heavy restrictions on the internet, and the next largest being half as large makes any legislation very important to anybody with any interest in the sustainability internet technologies.






