Is It Really That Nonsensically Impossible To Have A Successful First Game Project?
Its not impossible. If thats what you wanted to hear. You can most certainly come up with a contrived scenario in which such thing would be possible, but that would only prove your imagination skills rather than the probability of actual "success".
I dont really know what you're asking here. You know what we mean when we say "your first project will fail". You know that discussing possible/impossible is just semantics. There is nothing to discuss really.