Hi folks. I'm really curious, how do you forecast the profitability of a game? I'm refering to a browser based game that sells in game cash item. And I mean precisely how do I go about forecasting the sales revenue a game like that will make? I have been told to look at the sales similar games in the genre and industry make and to use them as a benchmark. However i can't find the sales figure of similar games anywhere, similar games exist but they don't publicize their revenue earnings. How then do you go about getting an accurate estimate of a game's potential earnings?
Sorry obviously an amateur here, would appreciate some help please thank you.