My futuristic idea about colonizing Mars and Venus

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99 comments, last by Endar 18 years, 6 months ago
Quote:Original post by Raduprv
For the time being we do not have the technology to do this, but with the advancements in nano technology and new materials, wouldn't it be possible in the future (maybe 500 years from now) to build some very elastic and flexible pipe between those two planets, and pump the CO2 from Venus to Mars?


It would have to be at least 330 million kilometers long, and you'd have to somehow stop it from getting burned up in the sun when the two planets were on opposite sides of the sun, tangled up on various orbiting rocks in between and so on. I don't think it'll work any time soon.
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yep. as others have said, it is highly unlikely that we will ever have technology for building such pipe.
Pipe must be made from unobtainium that
a: has extreme tensile strength,
b: can withstand extremely high temperatures(sun) (it might be possible to avoid collisions with sun but it'll be real close anyway),
c: has pumps made from unobtainium,
d: is made from nothing, i.e. we don't need to harvest material for it![grin] (that is, don't need to convert whole Venus into pipe... lol)
(d is most funny)
If this pipe is made from any sort of material, it's probably going to weight more than the atmosphere we want to pump through.
Probably there's few more funny material requirements I have missed.

But even if we will be able to make such pipe someday (made from forcefield, lol), with required level of tech we probably should move our solar system closer to Alpha Centauri, for colonization... no, that'd be too little, we can just build Dyson sphere instead [grin][lol]. Or better yet, build Dyson sphere for whole galaxy.

It's much more reasonable idea to pack atmosphere into metallized plastic bags and shot them through space using giant magnetic accelerator. Heck, even pumping through teleporter is more reasonable idea, as this pipe could as well be more unobtainable than teleporter.
Quote:And then there was the "ugly bags of mostly water" episode about the arrogance of human beings and the unforeseen hazards of terraforming.


"Home Soil". That was one of the not very good episodes from the first season.

There was also the episode "Inheritance" when Data finds his "mother". In that episode the side story is that they're reheating the core of a planet.
Quote:Original post by mikeman
Quote:
All the great inventions were met with laughter and distrust. A little over 100 years ago, people would laugh if you'd tell them you are going to build some device that is capable of liftoff. Telling them you are planing to build a space ship to go on the moon and back would have sounded even more ridiculous.


I'm tired of hearing this all the time. If you present an idea, and you want to be taken seriously, you have to bring arguments that sustain this particular idea, explaining, even in general terms, of why and how it would be possible. If you have to resort to "maybe in the future people will discover how to do it", you've already made the discussion non-serious. "All the great inventions were met with laughter and distrust" is not an argument. Period. The fact that many great inventions were dealt with distrust at first can't, in any way, be used as a serious argument about the validity of any crazy idea one can think of. Here's your argument:

1)Idea A was dealt with distrust at first.
2)Idea A proved possible.
3)Idea B was dealt with distrust at first.
4)Idea B will be proved possible in the future.

It's like saying "Apples are red. Apples are fruits. Bananas are fruits, therefore bananas are red". Now, some crazy ideas may be also proved possible in the future, just like there are fruits other than apples that are red, but the argument is still invalid.

Actually, it'd be more like saying, "Apples are red. Appleas are fruit. Tricycles are red. Therefore tricycles are fruit." Still just absurd, but a bit more accurately representative of the argument provided.
"We should have a great fewer disputes in the world if words were taken for what they are, the signs of our ideas only, and not for things themselves." - John Locke
Quote:Original post by Agony
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Quote:
All the great inventions were met with laughter and distrust. A little over 100 years ago, people would laugh if you'd tell them you are going to build some device that is capable of liftoff. Telling them you are planing to build a space ship to go on the moon and back would have sounded even more ridiculous.

...
Actually, it'd be more like saying, "Apples are red. Appleas are fruit. Tricycles are red. Therefore tricycles are fruit." Still just absurd, but a bit more accurately representative of the argument provided.


Exactly. some great inventions were met with laughter, and some stupid ideas were met with laughter.

I would even postulate that: number of stupid ideas met with laughter is bigger(like million times or so) than number of good ideas met with laughter.

[Edited by - Dmytry on October 23, 2005 2:45:09 PM]
Quote:Original post by Dmytry
Quote:Original post by Agony
...
Quote:
All the great inventions were met with laughter and distrust. A little over 100 years ago, people would laugh if you'd tell them you are going to build some device that is capable of liftoff. Telling them you are planing to build a space ship to go on the moon and back would have sounded even more ridiculous.

...
Actually, it'd be more like saying, "Apples are red. Appleas are fruit. Tricycles are red. Therefore tricycles are fruit." Still just absurd, but a bit more accurately representative of the argument provided.


Exactly. some great inventions were met with laughter, and some stupid ideas were met with laughter.

I would even postulate that: number of stupid ideas met with laughter is bigger than number of good ideas met with laughter.

Postulate? You can spare yourself, for it is a clear fact that there are far more bad ideas that have been laughed at then decent ones. There is no shortage of bad ideas, that's why people develop skepticism in the first place. This doesn't mean that people should just keep their mouths closed. However, that fact should be taken into consideration before any proposal is presented. The honest attempt to gather the proper facts first is definately a respectable gesture. Even if one's idea proves to be unfeasible, the honest attempt to gather the proper facts first makes them worthy of respect. Unfortunately, not everyone goes to such lengths before presenting their case.
Programming since 1995.
Speaking of bad ideas which somehow managed to get implemented (and messed up)

Remember that whale that washed on shore in florida, and they tried to "vapourize" it with TNT, and made a huge mess?
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"But the fact that some geniuses were laughed at does not imply that all who are laughed at are geniuses. They laughed at Columbus, they laughed at Fulton, they laughed at the Wright brothers. But they also laughed at Bozo the Clown." -- Carl Sagan
--AnkhSVN - A Visual Studio .NET Addin for the Subversion version control system.[Project site] [IRC channel] [Blog]
Quote:Original post by kSquared
Quote:Original post by Raduprv
For the time being we do not have the technology to do this, but with the advancements in nano technology and new materials, wouldn't it be possible in the future (maybe 500 years from now) to build some very elastic and flexible pipe between those two planets, and pump the CO2 from Venus to Mars?

Disclaimer: All of this is armchair calculations from Google, Wikipedia, and my handy CRC Reference Manual of Chemistry and Physics, 86th Edition.

Let's crunch some numbers to figure out the following:

(1) How big would this be?
(2) How much would building this cost?

Any such pipe would have to be made out of an arrangement/mesh of molecules with no lattice spaces large enough for CO2 to diffuse through. Otherwise, any pumping efforts would be utterly useless (they'd just drain right back out to wherever they were being pumped from). Since CO2 is one of the smallest molecules around, however, this material will need to be quite tight.

Carbon nanotubes would do the trick, since they're just carbon, and carbon fibers can keep CO2 out (this is what some CO2 scrubbers use to trap CO2 from recycled air). Let us suppose that the pipe has a cross-sectional diameter of 200 meters, approximately the length of Grand Central Station in New York City, and a wall thickness of 1 meter. The cross-sectional volume of an infinitely thin slice of the tube is therefore (201^2 - 200^2) * pi * dx = 401*pi*dx cubic meters, where dx is the thickness of the slice.

According to your modified plan, we'd anchor up the tubes whenever the planets passed close to each other, and then start pumping. Let's make a tremendous simplifying assumption and suppose that by the time 2505 arrives, we've already invented the technology to stabilize objects in space relative to some reference point, so that we can either fix the position of the tube relative to Venus or relative to Mars (or relative to the Sun, but that wouldn't be very useful).

The orbital period of Venus is about 225 days, while the orbital period of Mars is about 687 days. This means that they are closest to each other (assuming a perfectly circular orbit) about three times per Mars-year, or about once every 7.5 months in Earth time. Both Mars and Venus have orbital eccentricities less than 0.1 and ecliptic inclinations less than 5 degrees, so we will consider them circular for this purpose.

The Young's modulus (or "stiffness") for carbon nanotubes is approximately 1,000, which means that it takes approximately 1,000 times more stress to cause it to change shape than polypropylene, about 100 times more stress than oak wood, and about 10 times more stress than tempered titanium. As such, we won't have much time to start pumping once we attach the tubes; carbon doesn't stretch very well.

Let's suppose that we can stretch the tubes about 5% before they would approach their elastic limit and deform or break. Mars is about 9.553 AU in orbital circumference, while Venus is about 4.545 AU. The distance between Mars and Venus at their closest passes is therefore about (9.553 AU - 4.545 AU)/(2*pi) = 119,244,565,800 meters. With a 5% margin of error, that means we have about a window of about 16 Earth days every 7.5 Earth months before the planets are out of range, or about 26 (amortized) days every year.

Now we have enough information to answer (1). If the closest-pass distance is about 119 Gm, then the tube will need to be at least this long to connect the atmospheres of the two planets. Since the volume of a slice of width dx is 401*pi*dx cubic meters, the volume of a slice of width 119 Gm is 1.50221759 × 1014 m3.

The density of chiral carbon nanotubes (the kind we'd want for a super-long tunnel) is approximately 1.4 g/cm3, or 1,400 kg/m3. Therefore it would require a mass of carbon equal to DV = m = (1,400 kg/m3) * (1.5022 x 1014 m3) = 2.103 x 1017 kg, roughly equivalent to retrieving 7 inches of carbon from every point on the Earth's surface. For reference, the mass of the Earth is on the order of 10^24. (And forget about asteroid mining; the total mass of all asteroids in the Mars-Jupiter asteroid belt is less than 1/1000 of the Earth.)

The best source right now for cheap carbon is undoubtedly carbon dioxide, for which the current price is approximately $40 per ton. Since carbon comprises only about 38% of the mass of carbon dioxide, though, the effective price of the carbon in carbon dioxide is actually $106 per ton.

At $106 per ton, the cost of the raw materials is therefore USD 24.572 quadrillion. The current world GDP in USD is approximately $55.5 trillion (of which the United States alone contributes $11 trillion). The world's countries would need to invest 100% of their output over the next 254 years to be able to afford that much carbon (assuming a GDP growth rate of 4% per year). Considering it's a major challenge for most countries just to balance their budget, it might be hard to get them to invest in a gigantic space pipe. You can almost see the special-interest group attack ads: "Senator Wilkins is squandering your child's education dollars on a GIANT SPACE TUNNEL TO NOWHERE!"

Assuming a 2% rate of inflation over the next 500 years, the world would be paying the unimaginably titanic sum of USD 1.107 sextillion (1 followed by 18 zeroes) for all this carbon, which gives us the answer to (2). (And that's just the raw materials, to say nothing of the cost of moving all that carbon into space.)


You forgot to compensate for planetary rotation, which would make the pipes connect for even less time, and even less often.

--edit--

Not to mention that you'd need to build it so that the pump has to withstand the heat and pressure in the amtmosphere of Venus. Another problem is that carbon nanotubes corrode, just like everything else. Atomic oxygen can really screw the whole thing over in either atmosphere, meaning you'd need to put some plating on it to protect it from this, which adds more mass, which means bigger anchor points in Geo.

[Edited by - AnonymousPosterChild on October 23, 2005 1:09:33 PM]
With love, AnonymousPosterChild
Won't the whole concept of living on planets be obsolete by the time we are able to build inter-planetary plumbing?

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