Quote:Original post by OpenGL_Guru
again i well say....
do you believe in evolution as a scientific theory or as philosophical dogma? You'd be surprised how many people treat evolution almost as if it were a religious belief. as a scientific theory, you would agree that it should be held as long as it seems to be a consistent explanation of the evidence we have available, right?
there is a problem that exists...the problem of trying to use the scientific method to investigate any event that took place in the past. You see, to qualify as a scientific theory, any ideas must be testable in a controlled laboratory setting. The experiment we run must be capable of being repeated by any other qualified scientist. The most that laboratory experiments could ever hope to show is that natural selection or spontaneous generation or some other evolutionary mechanism can work under certain conditions. And all that would prove is that it could have been the way life evolved. An experiment could never say that this was the way life did evolve.
that being said, science can never make positive statements about historical events of any kind; it can only investigate current processes...i.e. evolution is really historical speculation, nothing more.
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lets go through an exercise shall we as a simple and as ONE of many examples? anyone have a coin? get it out and flip it. its either going to be heads or tails. lets assume its tails. now what do you think the chances would be that you could flip 10 more tails in a row? not too good? you would be right.
...anyone good with permutations/combinations? Let's suppose that you sat here and flipped this coin steadily, five flips every second. How long do you think it would take for you to get 10 tails in a row? 30 mins? an hour? 24 hours? And what if I made you flip it until you got a hundred tails in a row. How long might that take? maybe days? weeks? now what about a million tails in a row??? guess what.. you wouldnt live that long.. it would be (nearly) impossible..at least in your lifetime , for all practical purposes it would be impossible.
there are studies done on very simple molecules that have been studied and verified through numerous calculations that the odds of even ONE of these forming purely by chance is one in one hundred trillion trillion..one of the most popular molecules worked on in this matter is the protein called polypeptid...of course you wouldnt ever hear about this being done in the mainstream media. Even if you could flip that coin a hundred times a second, it would still take you 31 billion years to flip your coin the equivalent number of times to equal the odds of that one simple molecule. if you are talking about a fish you are talking about many multiple times that for the odds. and humans?? unimaginable.
To test it in science, you simply have to test the process (through evolution, this method happens).
You're using an example to 'test' for a specific chain reaction outcome. I won't dispute that it's near impossible for humans to reproduce the evolution that has come to be NOW, but we can perform smaller reproductions based on the overall direction of it to begin with.
If you belive in Intellectual design, an abstract from science, then this is near impossible because we cannot create the 'exact' result in our random testing. However, if you approach it as a 'we were a result', then getting 'us' again isn't required... because getting any other result... just as long as it's a new result in an evolutionary direction, proves the theory.
If you predetermine the outcome of a multi-leveled uncontroled test, it could be possible to return the results as they happened before... if you are willing to wait the time it took for it to happen at first x the amount of possible outcomes (but I'd guess you'd be dead long before)
Edit: If you test without intellectual design, all that must be done is to show things can evolve... not reproduce a 'designed' outcome. (had to clarify)